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Showing posts with label forecasts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forecasts. Show all posts
Monday, September 18, 2023

the world revolves around change

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The world revolves around change. Birth and death, growth and destruction, rise and fall, summer and winter. It’s never the same from one da...
Saturday, February 20, 2021

those torrential rivers

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I think it may be true that fortune determines one half of our actions, but that, even so, she leaves us to control the other half, or there...
Sunday, January 3, 2021

beware of optimism bias

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Beware of optimism bias: the expectation that the best possible outcome will emerge. This accounts for why divorce rates in the western worl...
Friday, November 6, 2020

think about hypotheticals

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Gareth Tennant argues that in recent years companies have become overenamoured with predictive analytics, trying to make precise forecasts ...
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